Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 26.883290 31.035849 35.531678 40.750047 46.629153 53.036245 60.535452
2024-12-29 20.215054 26.055231 32.989114 41.774350 52.549051 65.269339 81.353834
2025-01-05 16.712278 23.494907 32.146909 43.865542 59.177144 78.341514 103.955577
2025-01-12 13.255315 20.126341 29.460224 42.850622 61.310237 85.568413 119.502363
2025-01-19 10.461446 17.054944 26.542041 40.875299 61.597129 90.014323 131.364150
2025-01-26 9.554185 16.507588 26.989357 43.494067 68.267574 103.390216 156.077214
2025-02-02 9.107618 16.560761 28.261599 47.355329 76.948364 120.101813 186.512180
2025-02-09 8.059625 15.458274 27.573031 48.079522 80.914272 130.172458 207.941506
2025-02-16 7.038021 14.227543 26.494638 48.008075 83.547573 138.320728 226.910424
2025-02-23 6.109248 13.006736 25.259004 47.496536 85.349179 145.204080 244.248652
2025-03-02 5.359808 11.995690 24.246209 47.215554 87.429814 152.559446 262.637033
2025-03-09 4.749426 11.154968 23.425104 47.153045 89.811585 160.464396 282.250320
2025-03-16 3.848634 9.609197 21.168085 44.396675 87.545619 160.996592 290.673659
2025-03-23 3.517864 9.230383 21.129306 45.785354 92.784630 174.528290 321.564742
2025-03-30 3.312653 9.096406 21.560181 48.110411 99.904518 191.726937 359.643927
2025-04-06 2.830537 8.222163 20.335549 47.021233 100.552636 197.655767 378.763035
2025-04-13 2.341523 7.225577 18.696915 44.879894 98.957754 199.414630 390.626334
2025-04-20 2.267585 7.281837 19.405949 47.722051 107.314027 219.712345 436.441784
2025-04-27 2.280382 7.573499 20.687709 51.909078 118.647253 246.118173 494.546578
2025-05-04 2.079801 7.234001 20.435989 52.693989 123.112084 259.902355 530.322936
2025-05-11 1.854679 6.776143 19.832770 52.616563 125.765108 270.366393 560.464732
2025-05-18 1.633726 6.280909 19.063221 52.062154 127.339988 278.795284 587.160621
2025-05-25 1.450953 5.863178 18.431746 51.757599 129.407862 288.274823 616.280492